News & Musings

News & Musings

N.B. If the custom twitter feed below doesn’t load at all, try changing to another browser; if it doesn’t load correctly, try resizing your browser window (e.g., restore down/ revert or screen rotation/ revert on smartphone)… Sadly, for now this feed updates erraticallyincluding with considerable delays, randomly missing posts, etc. (and despite Smash Balloon, its developer, claiming to “work” on it… in private, while being silent about its grave malfunction publicly)and hence I shall most likely get rid of it soon. Do read me/ follow me directly on Twitter (X)partially cross-posted also on Mastodon and/ or BlueSky and/ or Threads (NB. all these latter three feeds, unlike Twitter (X), are readable also if you’re not logged in on their corresponding platforms)—for full functionality.

@vestager @X Not just that: @X in the @elonmusk era also enacts random acts of user abuse. I've now sent 5(!) appeals against the idiotic, absurd, unjustified suspension of an ACADEMIC PLATFORM's account—active 10 yrs before its "suspension" 10 days ago—W/OUT REACTION: https://x.com/sbuhai/status/1808251174598111523

Very interesting fresh working paper on production function estimation with subjective firm expectations by Norris-Keller, @PaulaAureo and @johnvanreenen: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2407.07988.
Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose! 😉

@DomenicoGiannon and I have recently presented our work on "The drivers of post-pandemic inflation" at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra.

Paper:

Video of the presentation: https://youtu.be/qvhP65obBy0

The paper answers 4 questions:

Thoughts about what's next in France + some important budget geekery in the middle. A long thread.

There is obviously no party capable of governing, But the two most important figures for me are approx

- RN + LFI = 214, 256 if we add EELV and PCF
- LR + PS + ENS = 131+162=293

Il y a une dimension sur laquelle la réduction des inégalités et la prospérité vont de paire. Paradoxalement, c'est celle qui fait le consensus politique contre elle.
C'est la dimension intergénérationnelle: le niveau des pensions et donc des cotisations qui les financent.

Sylvain, t’as bien sûr raison, mais je crains qu’on ne puisse pas vraiment traduire « liberal arts college » en français (et encore moins dans une entité institutionnelle française) — du moins pas de sitôt…

Precisely.
Even those who ardently believed in Biden's winning chances from start and throughout ought to have updated their priors subsequent to the recent d̵e̵b̵a̵t̵e̵ debacle. Hoping the unrepentantly non-Bayesian would also stop living in denial before—undebatably—too late...

And, apparently, neither are God, the White and Black Jesuses, the (Ozempic) Buddha, and the rest of this—a priori funny, a posteriori dead serious—crew: https://x.com/TheDailyShow/status/1810690833865200077
So who's (the non-Bayesian) left for Joe?...

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